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Who gets fourth spot?
Authored by: Rog on Thursday, August 14 2014 @ 11:52 am ACST

I would go with Nauru taking out 4th. Ireland haven't looked that strong yet, and I think Nauru will probably get away with a 4 or 5 goal loss. Ireland only beat Fiji by 45 points and Nauru are looking better than Fiji. Tonga are probably the other team I would think might sneak into 4th, if they get hold of Japan (100+ point win).
I think Pakistan or more likely France might even get past Japan for the last Division 1 place (12th). If any of them actually want it.

Edited on Thursday, August 14 2014 @ 11:58 am ACST by Rog

Who gets fourth spot?
Authored by: Brett Northey on Saturday, August 16 2014 @ 12:18 am ACST

Yeah it wouldn't surprise if Nauru manage to contain Ireland and keep their percentage intact.

But although I favour GB marginally over Fiji, it would be no surprise to see them hang on in which case they might squeak in on %.

Unfortunately the draw has put probably the 2nd best team in each pool up against the best team and the 3rd best team. So even if they win as seeded, they won't get the % that the 3rd best team will probably get by smashing a lower side. So 3rd is likely to finish above 2nd and one of them will get through to the semis. Alas a fundamentally flawed system in hindsight.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Who gets fourth spot?
Authored by: Brett Northey on Saturday, August 16 2014 @ 12:38 am ACST

Actually I just did my best guess and I have USA squeezing in:

NZ
PNG
Ireland
USA
Nauru
South Africa
Canada
GB
Tonga
Fiji
France
Sweden
Japan
Pakistan
Finland
China
Indonesia
India

That's with Fiji losing to GB. But if Fiji win it, even by just a point, I reckon they'll go through.

So in order of likelihood, my tip is that 4th spot goes to USA, Fiji, Nauru.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN