2008 International Cup - country attendance likelihood list
Wednesday, March 14 2007 @ 04:50 AM EST
Contributed by: Brett
Views: 2,343
The 2008 International Cup is now less than 18 months away (assuming an August 2008 date). This might seem like a long time to fans but supporters outside of Melbourne might want to start considering now whether they'll take a trip to Victoria's capital for the event. More importantly it means league administrators around the world will need to finalise whether their country will attend and start drawing up plans for getting around forty players and officials Down Under. Making sure players are available and sufficient funds are in place are two of the biggest issues. With AFL General Manager of National and International Development, David Matthews, recently speculating that as many as 20 nations may attend, we've looked at all the possible countries and rated the likelihood that they will be in Melbourne in 2008.
Below is a table rating each country on whether they are likely to attend and what key issues they face, other than usual financial pressures. As the tournament approaches we will steadily add stories via the front page of WFN. They will also appear in our dedicated 2008 International Cup page. See International Cups for our revamped central page for the 2002, 2005 and 2008 tournaments.
If all countries listed as moderate or better chances of attending do participate, and perhaps 3 of the other 12, that would give a total of 17 sides. Unless the AFL significantly funds all-comers, a reasonable estimate would seem to be 16 teams, an excellent result considering there were 10 in 2005 and 11 in 2002.
2008 International Cup - attendance and performance issues:
Country
Attendance Likelihood
Attendance Issues
Performance Issues
Papua New Guinea
Very high
None
Have selected mainly juniors in past
New Zealand
Very high
New CEO position in limbo
Are enough juniors being kept in the sport?
United States
Very high
None
None
Japan
Very high
None
Potential lack of key position size; split between JAFL and NAFL
South Africa
Very high
None
Large junior numbers still too young
Canada
Very high
None
Some potential Ontario-centric issues
Ireland
High
Local league not growing
A few gun Gaelic recruits could make a big difference
Denmark
High
No show in 2005
None
Britain
High
Upheaval in regional league
Upheaval in regional league
Samoa
Moderate
Player eligibility (many based in Australia)
Player eligibility
Sweden
Moderate
Game expanding but many clubs young; does a united national body exist?
None
Spain
Moderate
Does a united national body exist?
Madrid-centric squad or all-Spain?
Germany
Moderate
Small league, other development priorities
Rarely exposed to 18-a-side
Tonga
Moderate
Focus on juniors; recent national political problems
None
Nauru
Low
No show in 2005; tiny population
Tiny population
China
Low
Very early stages of development
None
France
Low
Early stages of development
None
India
Low
Very early stages of development
None
Argentina
Very low
Little contact with the footy world
None
Pakistan
Very low
Very early stages of development
None
Indonesia
Very low
Early stages of development
None
Croatia
Very low
Very early stages of development
None
Finland
Very low
Very early stages of development
None
Czech Republic
Very low
Very early stages of development
None
Austria
Very low
Very early stages of development
None
Note:
1. This table is based on our experience and dealings with some of these nations, but is not to be considered a definitive list.
2. Attendance Issues refers to circumstances particular to that country which may make their attendance less likely, as opposed to the usual issues all nations face, i.e. player availability in an amateur sport and funding/costs of travel.
3. Performance Issues refers to circumstances particular to that country which may make their performance less than would be anticipated based purely on past form or the size of the sport in their nation.
4. Any countries not listed above are thought at this time to have insufficent locally developed players who would qualify for the tournament, as opposed to expatriate Australians, who are generally ineligible.
5. The AFL recognises only one body in each country and England, Scotland and Wales currently compete as Britain under the British Australian Rules Football League.